Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.150121 3.500557 3.880043 4.322520 4.825525 5.380986 6.042771
2025-04-13 2.502824 2.943558 3.453796 4.091674 4.872637 5.803836 7.007473
2025-04-20 2.195858 2.693911 3.300180 4.099642 5.136732 6.451184 8.266670
2025-04-27 2.007729 2.549181 3.235941 4.182628 5.472179 7.194521 9.715345
2025-05-04 1.861605 2.433499 3.184767 4.260841 5.790651 7.931135 11.232162
2025-05-11 1.732421 2.322521 3.121769 4.305879 6.054630 8.606281 12.734470
2025-05-18 1.620205 2.221419 3.058283 4.336494 6.290935 9.255229 14.270708
2025-05-25 1.479742 2.066958 2.903146 4.213423 6.276708 9.511420 15.200956
2025-06-01 1.378442 1.959872 2.806008 4.164923 6.366749 9.932382 16.449632
2025-06-08 1.294888 1.871868 2.728852 4.137638 6.483264 10.402129 17.837923
2025-06-15 1.261669 1.856483 2.759531 4.281911 6.892975 11.407535 20.337417
2025-06-22 1.194253 1.783125 2.693483 4.260673 7.016232 11.920797 21.973308
2025-06-29 1.126585 1.706304 2.618587 4.221940 7.111671 12.406847 23.658309
2025-07-06 1.029063 1.575769 2.447938 4.005511 6.867239 12.231934 23.960655
2025-07-13 0.983975 1.527272 2.408809 4.014816 7.037532 12.869388 26.091127
2025-07-20 0.955761 1.504447 2.410546 4.096079 7.350036 13.822723 29.080800
2025-07-27 0.928704 1.481578 2.410117 4.172446 7.659485 14.806173 32.315657
2025-08-03 0.898226 1.450803 2.393463 4.216397 7.907653 15.689670 35.471997
2025-08-10 0.867714 1.417997 2.370730 4.246267 8.128999 16.540965 38.707815
2025-08-17 0.817096 1.347057 2.274887 4.126194 8.023828 16.646281 40.008418
2025-08-24 0.780643 1.299236 2.218189 4.078871 8.068986 17.101085 42.339455
2025-08-31 0.749531 1.259309 2.173593 4.052248 8.156306 17.665264 45.088002
2025-09-07 0.742452 1.262518 2.209707 4.193016 8.630564 19.228118 51.083095